Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020133 · Denton, TX · pop 8,010 · 70% of tract blocks fall in Little Elm
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 48121020133 in Little Elm ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 8,010 residents. On the national scale it ranks #34,216 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,063 a month while the average household earns $143,788 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,186
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$143,788
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
National
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1934, -96.8987 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,063 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 57Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Elm, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.62x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020133
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020133?
Census tract 48121020133 in Little Elm scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020133?
Median gross rent is $2,063/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020133?
7.3% of residents in tract 48121020133 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,010.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020133?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 55th, minority 71th, housing 10th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020133 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020133 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020133 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Little Elm at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020120
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020132
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020126
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020119
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020112
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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