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Carrollton, Texas eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,768 of 1,861 nationally

Carrollton, TX Eviction Risk: LOW

Denton County · Population 133,740

In 2026
Risk score
2.8
LOW

19th percentile, Texas.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.3 Average1.9 Now2.8
10 5 1976 · score 1.8 1977 · score 1.8 1978 · score 1.8 1979 · score 1.8 1980 · score 1.4 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.5 1983 · score 1.4 1984 · score 1.3 1985 · score 1.4 1986 · score 1.4 1987 · score 1.4 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.5 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.6 1992 · score 1.9 1993 · score 1.9 1994 · score 1.9 1995 · score 1.9 1996 · score 2.0 1997 · score 2.0 1998 · score 2.0 1999 · score 2.0 2000 · score 1.5 2001 · score 1.6 2002 · score 1.6 2003 · score 1.6 2004 · score 1.6 2005 · score 1.6 2006 · score 1.7 2007 · score 1.7 2008 · score 1.9 2009 · score 2.0 2010 · score 2.0 2011 · score 2.1 2012 · score 1.9 2013 · score 2.0 2014 · score 2.0 2015 · score 2.1 2016 · score 2.2 2017 · score 2.3 2018 · score 2.4 2019 · score 2.4 2020 · score 2.9 2021 · score 2.9 2022 · score 2.8 2023 · score 2.9 2024 · score 2.8 2025 · score 2.8 2026 · score 2.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 3.5 Regional 3.5 State 2.0 Economic 4.5 Supply 3.5 Rent Control 1.0 Eviction 3.0 Tenant 2.0 Housing 2.5 2.8 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +13.2% (2024)
    3.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    3.5
  3. State political climate
    Texas legislature & governorship
    2.0
  4. Economic stress
    6.9% poverty · 3.2% unemp.
    4.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,735 average · 41.5% renters
    3.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.2% of income on rent
    1.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    25 days filing → judgment
    3.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    41.5% renters
    2.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carrollton and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Carrollton compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Denton County
Very Low
#37 of 37 cities
Rank in county — 0th percentileBottomTop
#37 of 37 cities in Denton County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Texas
Very Low
#1501 of 1,841 cities
Rank in state — 19th percentileBottomTop
#1501 of 1,841 cities in Texas for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Carrollton risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Carrollton: 2.82.8CarrolltonThis cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.8
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.0 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 25d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,735/mo. A contested eviction takes 25 days and costs $861–$3,059 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 41.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 133,740 residents, 41.5% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 6.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 3.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 3.5 and 3.5 (GOP margin +13.2% (2024)). State climate at 2.0 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.0
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.0/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 3.0, housing court bias 2.5, rent-control risk 1.0. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.5. Supply constraint: 3.5. The numbers behind those: 6.9% poverty, 3.2% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Carrollton sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 20d 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Dallas, TX · 24d · ~$2.1k all-in ($89/day) · score 3.7 Dallas Fort Worth, TX · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.0 Fort Worth Arlington, TX · 25d · ~$2.1k all-in ($83/day) · score 2.9 Arlington Plano, TX · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($87/day) · score 2.4 Plano Irving, TX · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($90/day) · score 2.9 Irving Garland, TX · 23d · ~$2.3k all-in ($98/day) · score 3.1 Garland Frisco, TX · 24d · ~$2.1k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.2 Frisco McKinney, TX · 27d · ~$2.5k all-in ($94/day) · score 2.3 McKinney Grand Prairie, TX · 24d · ~$2.4k all-in ($101/day) · score 2.9 Grand Prairie Denton, TX · 24d · ~$2.4k all-in ($100/day) · score 4.0 Denton Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Carrollton
Carrollton · 25d · ~$2.0k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Carrollton, TX

Landlording in Carrollton, Texas, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.8/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Carrollton is a city of 133,740 residents where 41.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.2% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,735/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Carrollton eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 3.0/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Carrollton closes 25 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Carrollton's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Carrollton runs $861 to $3,059 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 25 days of typical timeline and $1,735/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 2.0/10 in Carrollton, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1.0/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Texas, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Carrollton: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Texas's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,059 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Carrollton

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 25 days and roughly $3,059 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,223 to $1,835 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under Property Code Chapter 24.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Carrollton without going to court?

No. You cannot use self-help eviction methods like changing locks, turning off utilities, or removing a tenant's belongings. To legally regain possession of your property, you must go through the formal eviction process in the Justice Court. Anything else is illegal and can result in you owing the tenant damages.

Q2

How much notice do I need to give for non-payment of rent?

In Carrollton, and throughout Texas, you must give a tenant a 3-day written notice to vacate for non-payment of rent before you can file an eviction lawsuit. This is required by Tex. Prop. Code § 24.005.

Q3

Is there rent control in Carrollton or Texas?

No. There is no statewide rent control in Texas, and Carrollton does not have local rent control ordinances. This means you are generally free to set rent prices and increase them with proper notice as outlined in your lease agreement or by state law for month-to-month tenancies. You can learn more about this on our Texas rent control rules page.

Q4

What if my tenant appeals the eviction judgment?

If your tenant appeals the Justice Court's eviction judgment, the case moves to the County Court. This will add several weeks or even months to the process and significantly increase your legal costs. It's crucial to have an attorney if an appeal occurs. The tenant may be required to pay a bond or rent into the court registry during the appeal, but this doesn't always happen.

Q5

Can I keep the security deposit for unpaid rent or damages?

Yes, you can deduct unpaid rent and reasonable costs for damages beyond normal wear and tear from the security deposit. Remember, you must return the remaining portion of the deposit or provide an itemized list of deductions within 30 days of the tenant vacating the property. Be specific with your deductions and keep all receipts.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.8/10 places Carrollton in the 19th percentile of Texas cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.