Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Eastvale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Frisco
Tract 48121021516 ·
Denton, TX · pop 6,668 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
48121021516 is a census tract in the Eastvale area of The Colony, TX. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 14%Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,329
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$116,269
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Eastvale
Very High
Within parent city
78th percentile
#3 of 10 tracts In Frisco
High
Within county
72th percentile
#55 of 193 tracts In Denton
Elevated
Within state
67th percentile
#2,275 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Frisco and the region
Centroid at 33.0933, -96.9113 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastvale scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Frisco
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,099 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Frisco
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Frisco
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Frisco
4.1
How Eastvale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
38%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
322Total filings over 13 yrs
13.81%Avg annual filing rate
23.3%Peak (2007)
18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2016
Filings dropped 18% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
115Total filings 2020-21
1.5Avg monthly (observed)
3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
0.49×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 45.5% across Denton County. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 322 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 23.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 13.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,099, close to the The Colony average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $116,269.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021516
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021516?
Census tract 48121021516 in the Eastvale neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021516?
Median gross rent is $2,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021516?
12.9% of residents in tract 48121021516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,668.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021516?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 43th, minority 64th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021516 considered part of Eastvale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021516 fall within Eastvale (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021516?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 322 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021516 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.81% of renter households, peaking at 23.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021516 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021516 compare to Frisco overall?
Tract 48121021516 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Frisco at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Frisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Frisco
Top eight tracts in Frisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.