Within parent city
65
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Flower Mound Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121021727 · Denton, TX · pop 4,964
Tract 48121021727 sits in Flower Mound eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 4,964 residents. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,794
Renter share20.0%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$169,322
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Flower Mound and the region
Centroid at 33.0008, -97.0510 · click any tract to drill in
Why Flower Mound scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,267 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.1
How Flower Mound compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2015)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 30Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.91×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Flower Mound
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
The voucher gap is 20.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 63 evictions over 13 years of observation. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 3.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $169,322, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021727
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021727?
Census tract 48121021727 in Flower Mound scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021727?
Median gross rent is $2,267/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021727?
7.6% of residents in tract 48121021727 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,964.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021727?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 37th, minority 65th, housing 10th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021727?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021727 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.27% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021727 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021727 compare to Flower Mound overall?
Tract 48121021727 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Flower Mound at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flower Mound eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Flower Mound
Top eight tracts in Flower Mound ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121021729
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021759
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020317
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Highland Forest Addition
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Golden Park Place
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021725
3
/ 10 · Low
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