Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020112 · Denton, TX · pop 2,958 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Little Elm
Census tract 48121020112 belongs to Little Elm, Texas. It is home to 2,958 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 48th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,403 a month while the average household earns $150,417 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units926
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$150,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
National
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1729, -96.8900 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,403 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2011)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 26Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Elm, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.16x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020112
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020112?
Census tract 48121020112 in Little Elm scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020112?
Median gross rent is $2,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020112?
3.0% of residents in tract 48121020112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,958.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020112?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 37th, minority 53th, housing 2th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020112?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 48121020112 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.18% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020112 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121020112 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020112 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Little Elm at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020120
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020132
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020126
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020119
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020133
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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