Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Little Elm Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020112 · Denton, TX · pop 2,958 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Little Elm
Tract 48121020112 sits in Little Elm, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units926
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$150,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Elm and the region
Centroid at 33.1729, -96.8900 · click any tract to drill in
Why Little Elm scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Little Elm
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,403 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Elm
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Elm
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Elm
5.3
How Little Elm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2011)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 26Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Little Elm
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 27.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
At $2,403 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Little Elm commands. The filing record is not thin: 41 evictions over 10 years of observation. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 0.8 points below the Denton County average of 3.8. The worst year on record was 2011, when 8.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020112
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020112?
Census tract 48121020112 in Little Elm scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020112?
Median gross rent is $2,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020112?
3.0% of residents in tract 48121020112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,958.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020112?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 37th, minority 53th, housing 2th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020112?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 48121020112 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.18% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020112 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121020112 compare to Little Elm overall?
Tract 48121020112 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Little Elm at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Elm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Elm
Top eight tracts in Little Elm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020127
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020132
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020120
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020126
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020119
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020133
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020130
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121020134
3
/ 10 · Low
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