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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Forest Addition Eviction Risk: Lower , Flower Mound

Tract 48121021720 · Denton, TX · pop 3,221 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 48121021720 sits in the Highland Forest Addition area of Flower Mound eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 3,221. Cost burden runs 15% here against 45.5% across Denton County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 1% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units985
Renter share1.3%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate0.0%
Median income$218,924

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Highland Forest Addition
Very High
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 18 tracts In Flower Mound
Low
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#119 of 193 tracts In Denton
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Flower Mound and the region

Centroid at 33.0658, -97.0525 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Forest Addition scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flower Mound
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flower Mound
4.1

How Highland Forest Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Forest Addition risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 021720Flower Mound: 3.43.4Flower Moundparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 4.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.0%Peak (2004)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210217202001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (14.29/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (2.17/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (4.35/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (2.17/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (2.17/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (10.53/100 renter HHs)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.44×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Forest Addition. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Forest Addition

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Disability prevalence runs 19.2% against 31.5% nationally. Court records carry 14 eviction filings across 9 observed years.

Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2004 at 1.0% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021720

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021720?

Census tract 48121021720 in the Highland Forest Addition neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021720?

0.0% of residents in tract 48121021720 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,221.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021720?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 20th, minority 56th, housing 3th.
Q4

Is tract 48121021720 considered part of Highland Forest Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021720 fall within Highland Forest Addition (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021720?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48121021720 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.27% of renter households, peaking at 1.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021720 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121021720 compare to Flower Mound overall?

Tract 48121021720 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Flower Mound at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flower Mound eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flower Mound

Top eight tracts in Flower Mound ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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