Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Paloma Creek South Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020137 · Denton, TX · pop 3,454 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Paloma Creek South
With a score of 3/10, tract 48121020137 in Paloma Creek South, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,103
Renter share13.1%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$146,736
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Paloma Creek South and the region
Centroid at 33.2128, -96.9355 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paloma Creek South scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Paloma Creek South
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,313 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Paloma Creek South
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Paloma Creek South
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Paloma Creek South
3.5
How Paloma Creek South compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 108Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paloma Creek South
Cost burden runs around a third here against 45.5% across Denton County. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
The voucher gap is 22.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 0.8 points below the Denton County average of 3.8. Average gross rent is $2,313, 13% below the Paloma Creek South average.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $146,736.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020137
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020137?
Census tract 48121020137 in Paloma Creek South scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020137?
Median gross rent is $2,313/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020137?
0.4% of residents in tract 48121020137 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,454.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020137?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 22th, minority 72th, housing 2th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020137 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020137 compare to Paloma Creek South overall?
Tract 48121020137 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Paloma Creek South at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Paloma Creek South; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Paloma Creek South
Top eight tracts in Paloma Creek South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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