Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Providence Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020121 · Denton, TX · pop 6,125 · 34% of tract blocks fall in Providence Village
48121020121 is a census tract in Providence Village, TX. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,125 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,760
Renter share37.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$94,474
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence Village and the region
Centroid at 33.2539, -97.0106 · click any tract to drill in
Why Providence Village scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence Village
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,951 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence Village
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence Village
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence Village
1.6
How Providence Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 702Total filings 2020-21
- 9.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 10.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Providence Village
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Denton County average of 45.5%.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,951, 19% below the Providence Village average.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10.
It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $94,474.
37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020121
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020121?
Census tract 48121020121 in Providence Village scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020121?
Median gross rent is $1,951/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020121?
10.8% of residents in tract 48121020121 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,125.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020121?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 55th, minority 42th, housing 34th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020121 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 10.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020121 compare to Providence Village overall?
Tract 48121020121 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Providence Village at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence Village
Top eight tracts in Providence Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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