Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally
Celina Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020129 · Denton, TX · pop 4,718 · 31% of tract blocks fall in Celina
Celina anchors census tract 48121020129, which lands at 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 41% of US census tracts.
27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,950 a month while the average household earns $112,171 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,615
Renter share9.5%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$112,171
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
National
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Celina and the region
Centroid at 33.3335, -96.8956 · click any tract to drill in
Why Celina scores 2.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Celina
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,950 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Celina
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Celina
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Celina
5.7
How Celina compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 89Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Celina
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Celina, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denton County average of 5.0 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020129
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020129?
Census tract 48121020129 in Celina scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020129?
Median gross rent is $1,950/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020129?
14.9% of residents in tract 48121020129 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,718.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020129?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 89th, minority 50th, housing 7th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020129 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020129 compare to Celina overall?
Tract 48121020129 scores 2.4/10, higher than the parent city of Celina at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Celina; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Celina
Top eight tracts in Celina ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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