Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Providence Village Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020122 · Denton, TX · pop 4,574 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Providence Village
With a score of 4/10, tract 48121020122 in Providence Village, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share28.1%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$100,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence Village and the region
Centroid at 33.2345, -96.9532 · click any tract to drill in
Why Providence Village scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence Village
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,441 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence Village
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence Village
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence Village
1.6
How Providence Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 80Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Providence Village
The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
The voucher gap is 29.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 1.6/10.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $2,441, close to the Providence Village average.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $100,625. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020122
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020122?
Census tract 48121020122 in Providence Village scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020122?
Median gross rent is $2,441/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020122?
13.8% of residents in tract 48121020122 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020122?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 73th, minority 59th, housing 21th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020122 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020122 compare to Providence Village overall?
Tract 48121020122 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Providence Village at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence Village
Top eight tracts in Providence Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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