Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Providence Village Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020122 · Denton, TX · pop 4,574 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Providence Village
In Providence Village, census tract 48121020122 scores 5.1/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #49,688 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,441 monthly, set against $100,625 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share28.1%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$100,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
National
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence Village and the region
Centroid at 33.2345, -96.9532 · click any tract to drill in
Why Providence Village scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence Village
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,441 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence Village
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence Village
2.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence Village
1.6
How Providence Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 80Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Providence Village
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Providence Village, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denton County average of 5.0 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.07x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020122
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020122?
Census tract 48121020122 in Providence Village scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020122?
Median gross rent is $2,441/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020122?
13.8% of residents in tract 48121020122 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020122?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 73th, minority 59th, housing 21th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020122 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020122 compare to Providence Village overall?
Tract 48121020122 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Providence Village at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence Village; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence Village
Top eight tracts in Providence Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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