Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Roanoke Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020322 · Denton, TX · pop 7,758 · 37% of tract blocks fall in Roanoke
Tract 48121020322 sits in Roanoke, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,841
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$153,244
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roanoke and the region
Centroid at 33.0498, -97.2287 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roanoke scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Roanoke
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,257 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roanoke
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roanoke
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roanoke
3.5
How Roanoke compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 83Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.35×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roanoke
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $2,257, 27% above the Roanoke average. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Denton County average of 45.5%. The voucher gap is 19.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. Against average income of $153,244, annual rent is just 18%. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020322
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020322?
Census tract 48121020322 in Roanoke scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020322?
Median gross rent is $2,257/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020322?
4.3% of residents in tract 48121020322 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,758.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020322?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 18th, minority 47th, housing 29th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020322 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.35× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020322 compare to Roanoke overall?
Tract 48121020322 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke
Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related