Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
The W's Eviction Risk: Lower , The Colony
Tract 48121021521 · Denton, TX · pop 4,523 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 48121021521 sits in the The W's area of The Colony, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. It is home to 4,523 residents. Against Denton County at 45.5%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,438
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$128,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across The Colony and the region
Centroid at 33.0979, -96.8879 · click any tract to drill in
Why The W's scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from The Colony
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,195 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from The Colony
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The Colony
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from The Colony
4.1
How The W's compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 197Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.7%Peak (2007)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 66Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.02×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The W's. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The W's
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.
13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 16.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Court records carry 197 eviction filings across 13 observed years. Average gross rent is $2,195, 12% above the The Colony average.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 16.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021521
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021521?
Census tract 48121021521 in the The W's neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021521?
Median gross rent is $2,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021521?
12.1% of residents in tract 48121021521 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,523.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021521?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 47th, minority 68th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021521 considered part of The W's?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021521 fall within The W's (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021521?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 197 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021521 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.06% of renter households, peaking at 16.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021521 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021521 compare to The Colony overall?
Tract 48121021521 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of The Colony at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The Colony; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in The Colony
Top eight tracts in The Colony ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Kensington Place
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Eastvale
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Legend Crest
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Legend Crest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Legend Trails
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Legend Trails
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Legend Crest
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48121021534
3
/ 10 · Low
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