Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Kensington Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carrollton
Tract 48121021647 · Denton, TX · pop 4,276 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 48121021647 sits in the Kensington Place area of The Colony, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. It is home to 4,276 residents. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 60%
Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units2,926
Renter share96.3%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$85,332
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollton and the region
Centroid at 33.0564, -96.8506 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kensington Place scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollton
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollton
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollton
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollton
4.1
How Kensington Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,482Total filings 2020-21
- 19.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 24.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.77×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kensington Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kensington Place
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Cost burden runs 37% here against 45.5% across Denton County. Disability prevalence runs 18.9% against 31.5% nationally.
Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $1,780, 9% below the The Colony average. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $85,332.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021647
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021647?
Census tract 48121021647 in the Kensington Place neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021647?
Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021647?
4.7% of residents in tract 48121021647 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,276.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021647?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 0th, minority 58th, housing 16th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021647 considered part of Kensington Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021647 fall within Kensington Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021647 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021647 compare to Carrollton overall?
Tract 48121021647 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Carrollton at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollton
Top eight tracts in Carrollton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Eastvale
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Legend Crest
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Legend Crest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
The W's
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Legend Trails
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Legend Trails
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Legend Crest
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
The W's
3
/ 10 · Low
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