Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Elva Eviction Risk: Moderate , Red Oak
Tract 48139060207 · Ellis County, TX · pop 8,032 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 48139060207 in the Elva area of Red Oak, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,032 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,707
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$97,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Red Oak and the region
Centroid at 32.5187, -96.7765 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elva scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Red Oak
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,088 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Red Oak
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Red Oak
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Red Oak
6.7
How Elva compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elva. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elva
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Against Ellis County at 43.5%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Average gross rent is $2,088, 9% above the Red Oak average. Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Ellis County average of 4.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $97,066.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48139060207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48139060207?
Census tract 48139060207 in the Elva neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48139060207?
Median gross rent is $2,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48139060207?
14.6% of residents in tract 48139060207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,032.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48139060207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 83th, minority 66th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 48139060207 considered part of Elva?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48139060207 fall within Elva (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48139060207 compare to Red Oak overall?
Tract 48139060207 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Red Oak at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Red Oak; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Red Oak
Top eight tracts in Red Oak ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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