Neighborhood · Sugar Land, TX

Chimneystone Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 17,185 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–3.7

Chimneystone spans 3 census tracts of Sugar Land, TX and houses 17,185 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Sugar Land baseline of 30.9%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

The voucher gap is 23.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10.

Court records carry 804 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 7.6% of renter households.

That places it #6 of 9 neighborhoods in Sugar Land. Judgments average 2.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Pheasant Creek and New Territory score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Chimneystone vs Sugar Land How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

61.5% +99%

Sugar Land: 30.9%

Average gross rent

$1,891 -3%

Sugar Land: $1,957

Average HH income

$102,743 -25%

Sugar Land: $137,511

Poverty rate

6.3% +23%

Sugar Land: 5.1%

Renter share

31.3% +59%

Sugar Land: 19.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chimneystone and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.7

Why Chimneystone scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.0–6.0 across tracts

4.3

Rent control risk

62% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts

1.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.4–2.5 across tracts

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

31% renter households · Range 1.5–3.0 across tracts

2.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.0–2.6 across tracts

2.3

Economic stress

6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts

1.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–9.4 across tracts

7.4

Risk score comparison

Chimneystone vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Chimneystone?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 3 to 3.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.7 3.1 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Chimneystone

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48157671501	3.7	7,609	69%	$1,965
48157671601	3.1	6,332	47%	$1,646
48157671602	3	3,244	72%	$2,195

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 47%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 32%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chimneystone

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

804Total filings (sum)
5.13%Avg annual filing rate
7.6%Peak year (2016)
4.57%Latest filed (2016)

Frequently asked

About Chimneystone

What is the eviction-risk score for Chimneystone?

Chimneystone scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Chimneystone compare to Sugar Land overall?

Chimneystone scores 0.1 points higher than Sugar Land overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,891 vs $1,957.

What is the average rent in Chimneystone?

Average gross rent in Chimneystone is $1,891/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Chimneystone residents are renters?

31% of Chimneystone households are renter-occupied (vs 20% in Sugar Land). The neighborhood has 17,185 residents.

Is Chimneystone a high social-vulnerability area?

Chimneystone sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Chimneystone have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Chimneystone is census tract 48157671501 (score 3.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Chimneystone for landlords?

Chimneystone carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sugar Land as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Chimneystone?

Chimneystone has 17,180 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (38.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.3%), Hispanic / Latino (12.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chimneystone

3 Austin Park 3 tracts · pop 16,786 3 Colony Park 2 tracts · pop 7,378 4.2 Crestmont Place 3 tracts · pop 15,310 4.6 Bayou Place 2 tracts · pop 10,880 4.4 Hobby 4 tracts · pop 12,706 3.2 Pheasant Creek 3 tracts · pop 15,326

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sugar Land

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chimneystone.

3.3 Pheasant Creek 3 tracts · pop 15,326 3.2 New Territory 4 tracts · pop 18,410 3 Colony Park 2 tracts · pop 7,378 3 Austin Park 3 tracts · pop 16,786 3 Greatwood 3 tracts · pop 13,261 3.8 Settlers Park 1 tracts · pop 6,113

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