Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Chimneystone Eviction Risk: Lower , Sugar Land
Tract 48157671501 · Fort Bend, TX · pop 7,609 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 48157671501 in the Chimneystone area of Missouri City, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,609. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,639
Renter share23.9%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$99,466
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sugar Land and the region
Centroid at 29.5945, -95.5735 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chimneystone scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sugar Land
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,965 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sugar Land
1.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sugar Land
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sugar Land
2.6
How Chimneystone compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 329Total filings over 14 yrs
- 7.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2016)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 175% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chimneystone. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chimneystone
Against Fort Bend County at 42.8%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.3/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.
The voucher gap is 28.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 329 evictions over 14 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48157671501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48157671501?
Census tract 48157671501 in the Chimneystone neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48157671501?
Median gross rent is $1,965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48157671501?
10.1% of residents in tract 48157671501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,609.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48157671501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 49th, minority 85th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 48157671501 considered part of Chimneystone?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48157671501 fall within Chimneystone (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48157671501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 329 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 48157671501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.91% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48157671501 compare to Sugar Land overall?
Tract 48157671501 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Sugar Land at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sugar Land eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sugar Land
Top eight tracts in Sugar Land ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48157671102
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fort Bend Houston
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48157671002
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Crestmont Place
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Crestmont Place
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48157674507
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48157674508
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
48157674404
3
/ 10 · Low
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