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Geronimo, Texas eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,507 residents

Geronimo, TX Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Guadalupe County · Population 1,507

In 2026
Risk score
2
VERY LOW

44th percentile, Texas.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.2 Average2.1 Now2
10 5 1976 · score 1.7 1977 · score 1.7 1978 · score 1.7 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.4 1981 · score 1.5 1982 · score 1.5 1983 · score 1.4 1984 · score 1.2 1985 · score 1.3 1986 · score 1.3 1987 · score 1.3 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.5 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.6 1992 · score 1.8 1993 · score 1.8 1994 · score 1.8 1995 · score 1.8 1996 · score 1.9 1997 · score 1.9 1998 · score 1.9 1999 · score 1.9 2000 · score 1.9 2001 · score 2.0 2002 · score 2.0 2003 · score 2.0 2004 · score 2.0 2005 · score 2.0 2006 · score 2.0 2007 · score 2.0 2008 · score 2.4 2009 · score 2.5 2010 · score 2.5 2011 · score 2.6 2012 · score 2.4 2013 · score 2.4 2014 · score 2.4 2015 · score 2.5 2016 · score 2.8 2017 · score 2.8 2018 · score 2.9 2019 · score 3.0 2020 · score 3.4 2021 · score 3.5 2022 · score 3.4 2023 · score 3.4 2024 · score 2.8 2025 · score 3.3 2026 · score 2.0

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.4 Regional 4.4 State 1.5 Economic 2.5 Supply 5.3 Rent Control 1.0 Eviction 1.5 Tenant 5.3 Housing 1.5 2 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +29.5% (2024)
    4.4
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.4
  3. State political climate
    Texas legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    16.2% poverty · 2.0% unemp.
    2.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,412 average · 17.8% renters
    5.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    27.4% of income on rent
    1.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    26 days filing → judgment
    1.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    17.8% renters
    5.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    1.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Geronimo and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Geronimo compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Guadalupe County
Moderate
#7 of 13 cities
Rank in county, 50th percentileBottomTop
#7 of 13 cities in Guadalupe County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Texas
Moderate
#1074 of 1,841 cities
Rank in state, 42nd percentileBottomTop
#1074 of 1,841 cities in Texas for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Geronimo risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Geronimo: 2.02.0GeronimoThis cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 26d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,412/mo. A contested eviction takes 26 days and costs $1,036-$2,978 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 17.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,507 residents, 17.8% rent. 27% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 16.2% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.4 and 4.4 (GOP margin +29.5% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.5, housing court bias 1.5, rent-control risk 1. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 2.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 2.5. Supply constraint: 5.3. The numbers behind those: 16.2% poverty, 2.0% unemployment, 27% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Geronimo sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) San Antonio, TX · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 2.8 San Antonio Austin, TX · 24d · ~$2.2k all-in ($92/day) · score 3.6 Austin New Braunfels, TX · 28d · ~$2.2k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.1 New Braunfels San Marcos, TX · 27d · ~$2.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.3 San Marcos Kyle, TX · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($97/day) · score 4.1 Kyle Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Dallas, TX · 24d · ~$2.1k all-in ($89/day) · score 3.2 Dallas Fort Worth, TX · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Fort Worth El Paso, TX · 24d · ~$2.3k all-in ($95/day) · score 2.5 El Paso Arlington, TX · 25d · ~$2.1k all-in ($83/day) · score 2.7 Arlington Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Geronimo
Geronimo · 26d · ~$2.0k all-in ($77/day) · score 2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Geronimo, TX

Landlording in Geronimo, Texas, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Geronimo is a city of 1,507 residents where 17.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 27.4% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,412/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Geronimo eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Geronimo closes 26 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Geronimo's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 1.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Geronimo runs $1,036 to $2,978 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 26 days of typical timeline and $1,412/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.3/10 in Geronimo, and the city has limited rent control exposure (1/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Texas, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Geronimo: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Texas's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $2,978 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Geronimo

Trap · 1.5/10
For landlords, the 3.3/10 score is most actionable when combined with Guadalupe County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 1.5/10. Standard documentation and prompt action typically resolve cases quickly.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant claims they can't pay due to a job loss?

While unfortunate, a job loss doesn't legally excuse a tenant from paying rent in Texas. Your process remains the same: issue the 3-day notice. You can offer a payment plan or cash for keys as a compassionate option, but you are not legally obligated to do so. Stick to your lease terms.

Q2

Can I turn off utilities if the tenant doesn't pay rent?

Absolutely not. Texas law strictly prohibits landlords from turning off utilities (water, electricity, gas) to force a tenant out, even if they haven't paid rent. This is an illegal "self-help" eviction and can result in significant penalties against you. Always follow the judicial eviction process.

Q3

How long does a tenant have to appeal an eviction judgment in Geronimo?

After a Justice Court judge rules in your favor, the tenant generally has 5 calendar days to appeal the decision to the County Court at Law. If they appeal, the process will take longer and likely require an attorney. They typically must pay a bond or a month's rent into the court registry to appeal.

Q4

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Geronimo?

For a straightforward, uncontested eviction for non-payment, many landlords handle the Justice Court process themselves. However, if the tenant hires a lawyer, raises complex defenses, or you simply want peace of mind, hiring an attorney is highly recommended. It can prevent costly procedural errors and speed up the process.

Q5

What if my tenant abandons the property?

If you have clear evidence a tenant has abandoned the property (e.g., removed all belongings, stopped paying rent, notified you they're leaving), you can typically regain possession without a formal eviction. However, be cautious. If you're unsure, or if the tenant still has belongings there, it's safer to go through the eviction process or consult with an attorney to avoid claims of illegal lockout.

Q6

Are there any rent control laws in Geronimo, TX?

No. Texas has a statewide ban on rent control. Municipalities like Geronimo cannot enact rent control ordinances. This means you are generally free to set market rates for your rental properties. For more information, see our Texas rent control rules guide.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2/10 places Geronimo in the 44th percentile of Texas cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.