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Seguin, Texas eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,618 of 1,865 nationally

Seguin, TX Eviction Risk: LOW

Guadalupe County · Population 33,754

In 2026
Risk score
2.8
LOW

77th percentile, Texas.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average2.9 Now2.8
10 5 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.1 1978 · score 2.1 1979 · score 2.1 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 2.0 1989 · score 2.1 1990 · score 2.1 1991 · score 2.1 1992 · score 2.4 1993 · score 2.4 1994 · score 2.4 1995 · score 2.4 1996 · score 2.5 1997 · score 2.5 1998 · score 2.6 1999 · score 2.6 2000 · score 2.6 2001 · score 2.7 2002 · score 2.8 2003 · score 2.8 2004 · score 2.8 2005 · score 2.8 2006 · score 2.9 2007 · score 2.9 2008 · score 3.3 2009 · score 3.4 2010 · score 3.5 2011 · score 3.6 2012 · score 3.4 2013 · score 3.5 2014 · score 3.6 2015 · score 3.7 2016 · score 4.0 2017 · score 4.1 2018 · score 4.3 2019 · score 4.4 2020 · score 5.0 2021 · score 5.0 2022 · score 5.0 2023 · score 5.0 2024 · score 4.4 2025 · score 4.5 2026 · score 2.8

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.4 Regional 4.4 State 1.5 Economic 6.5 Supply 7.1 Rent Control 4.0 Eviction 1.0 Tenant 7.2 Housing 5.8 2.8 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +29.5% (2024)
    4.4
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.4
  3. State political climate
    Texas legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    17.9% poverty · 3.6% unemp.
    6.5
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,187 average · 34.8% renters
    7.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    28.1% of income on rent
    4.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    26 days filing → judgment
    1.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    34.8% renters
    7.2
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.8
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seguin and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Seguin compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Guadalupe County
High
#3 of 13 cities
Rank in county, 83rd percentileBottomTop
#3 of 13 cities in Guadalupe County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Texas
Elevated
#474 of 1,841 cities
Rank in state, 74th percentileBottomTop
#474 of 1,841 cities in Texas for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Seguin risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Seguin: 2.82.8SeguinThis cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.8
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 2.8/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+0.7 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 26d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,187/mo. A contested eviction takes 26 days and costs $873-$3,393 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 34.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 33,754 residents, 34.8% rent. 28% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 17.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.4 and 4.4 (GOP margin +29.5% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1, housing court bias 5.8, rent-control risk 4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-4.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.5
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.5. Supply constraint: 7.1. The numbers behind those: 17.9% poverty, 3.6% unemployment, 28% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Seguin sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) San Antonio, TX · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 2.8 San Antonio New Braunfels, TX · 28d · ~$2.2k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.1 New Braunfels San Marcos, TX · 27d · ~$2.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.3 San Marcos Kyle, TX · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($97/day) · score 4.1 Kyle Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Dallas, TX · 24d · ~$2.1k all-in ($89/day) · score 3.2 Dallas Austin, TX · 24d · ~$2.2k all-in ($92/day) · score 3.6 Austin Fort Worth, TX · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Fort Worth El Paso, TX · 24d · ~$2.3k all-in ($95/day) · score 2.5 El Paso Arlington, TX · 25d · ~$2.1k all-in ($83/day) · score 2.7 Arlington Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Seguin
Seguin · 26d · ~$2.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.8 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Seguin, TX

Landlording in Seguin, Texas, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.8/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Seguin is a city of 33,754 residents where 34.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 28.1% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,187/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Seguin eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Seguin closes 26 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Seguin's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.8/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Seguin runs $873 to $3,393 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 26 days of typical timeline and $1,187/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.2/10 in Seguin, and the city has limited rent control exposure (4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Texas, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Seguin: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Texas's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,393 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Seguin

Trap · 5.8/10
For landlords, the 4.5/10 score is most actionable when combined with Guadalupe County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 5.8/10. Standard documentation and prompt action typically resolve cases quickly.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Seguin without going to court?

No. You cannot physically remove a tenant, change locks, or shut off utilities to force them out. That's an illegal "self-help" eviction. You must follow the legal eviction process through the Justice Court in Guadalupe County.

Q2

How long does a tenant have to appeal an eviction in Texas?

A tenant has five days after the judgment in Justice Court to appeal the decision to the County Court at Law. If they appeal, the process restarts, and you'll have to go through another hearing. This can add significant time and cost to the eviction.

Q3

Is there rent control in Seguin, TX?

No. Texas has a statewide ban on rent control. This means landlords in Seguin have the freedom to set rent prices, though market conditions will always be a factor. You can learn more on our Texas rent control rules page.

Q4

What if my tenant claims I didn't make repairs?

In Texas, tenants have specific rights regarding repairs. If a tenant claims you failed to make a repair that affects health or safety, they must notify you in writing. If you don't fix it within a "reasonable time" (typically 7 days), they might have a defense in court. Keep detailed records of all repair requests and your responses.

Q5

Can I charge a late fee for rent in Seguin?

Yes, you can charge a late fee in Texas, but it must be reasonable. The law generally limits late fees to 10% of the monthly rent for properties with four or fewer units. Ensure your lease clearly states the late fee amount and when it applies.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.8/10 places Seguin in the 77th percentile of Texas cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.