Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #55,092 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Falls Eviction Risk: Lower , Atascocita
Tract 48201250304 · Harris, TX · pop 9,198 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 48201250304 runs through the Magnolia Falls neighborhood of Atascocita. With 9,198 residents, it scores 4.8/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,624 monthly, set against $92,729 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 22% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,401
Renter share22.3%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$92,729
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atascocita and the region
Centroid at 29.9471, -95.2263 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Falls scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atascocita
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,624 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atascocita
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atascocita
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atascocita
3.9
How Magnolia Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 742Total filings 2020-21
- 9.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.15×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Magnolia Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Falls
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atascocita eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.15x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201250304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201250304?
Census tract 48201250304 in the Magnolia Falls neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201250304?
Median gross rent is $1,624/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201250304?
4.3% of residents in tract 48201250304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,198.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201250304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 40th, minority 87th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 48201250304 considered part of Magnolia Falls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201250304 fall within Magnolia Falls (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201250304 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.15× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201250304 compare to Atascocita overall?
Tract 48201250304 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Atascocita at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atascocita eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atascocita
Top eight tracts in Atascocita ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Pines of Atascocita
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Biscayne Bend
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Atascocita Timbers
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Aspen Glen
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Sierra Ridge
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Kings River
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Atascocita South
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Parkside
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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