Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Afton Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201411600 ·
Harris, TX · pop 2,758 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
In Afton Oaks in Houston, census tract 48201411600 scores 4.2/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 15% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 21% of renter households, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,654 a month while the average household earns $124,281 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 30%Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,515
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$124,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Afton Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
10th percentile
#853 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very Low
Within county
14th percentile
#959 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
28th percentile
#4,987 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7355, -95.4537 · click any tract to drill in
Why Afton Oaks scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,654 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Afton Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
2%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
39%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
54Total filings over 7 yrs
4.52%Avg annual filing rate
6.9%Peak (2012)
5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2015
Filings dropped 44% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
206Total filings 2020-21
2.7Avg monthly (observed)
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
4.90×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Afton Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 54 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.9% of renter households in 2012.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 4.90x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201411600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201411600?
Census tract 48201411600 in the Afton Oaks neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201411600?
Median gross rent is $1,654/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201411600?
3.8% of residents in tract 48201411600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,758.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201411600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 5th, minority 39th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 48201411600 considered part of Afton Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201411600 fall within Afton Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201411600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201411600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.52% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201411600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 4.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201411600 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201411600 scores 2.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.