Heritage Square Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.1/10. The voucher gap is 26.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Against a Houston baseline of 32.1%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 36 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 6.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.6% in 2015, is well off that peak.

That places it #241 of 397 neighborhoods in Houston. At 12% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $109,375.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.