Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Keegans Glen Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201453601 · Harris, TX · pop 1,763 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
48201453601 is a census tract in the Keegans Glen area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,763. 77% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units492
Renter share47.0%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate32.7%
Median income$31,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6801, -95.5913 · click any tract to drill in
Why Keegans Glen scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.7% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$956 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Keegans Glen compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 722Total filings over 7 yrs
- 30.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 54.4%Peak (2009)
- 64Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 65% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 335Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Keegans Glen. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Keegans Glen
Cost burden runs about three-quarters here against 49.5% across Harris County. Adults with no health insurance runs 37.5% against 11.3% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $31,694 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $956, 30% below the Houston average. Disability prevalence runs 46.9% against 31.5% nationally.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0.
The filing record is not thin: 722 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2009 at 54.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 30.3% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201453601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201453601?
Census tract 48201453601 in the Keegans Glen neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201453601?
Median gross rent is $956/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201453601?
32.7% of residents in tract 48201453601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,763.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201453601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 98th, minority 94th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 48201453601 considered part of Keegans Glen?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201453601 fall within Keegans Glen (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201453601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 722 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201453601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.27% of renter households, peaking at 54.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201453601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201453601 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201453601 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Hawthorne Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Chinatown
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Airline
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Bayou Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Bayou Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Inwood Northwest
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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