Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201324200 · Harris, TX · pop 782 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
48201324200 is a census tract in the Manchester area of Houston, TX. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 782. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 31% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units326
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$42,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7153, -95.2429 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$965 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2015)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 43Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
Adults with no health insurance runs 51.2% against 11.3% nationally. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
Disability prevalence runs 48.4% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $965, 29% below the Houston average.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 17 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 3.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201324200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201324200?
Census tract 48201324200 in the Manchester neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201324200?
Median gross rent is $965/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201324200?
13.7% of residents in tract 48201324200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 782.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201324200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 92th, minority 94th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 48201324200 considered part of Manchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201324200 fall within Manchester (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201324200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201324200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.38% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201324200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201324200 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201324200 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201324200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
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