Mission Trace Eviction Risk: Lower

Cost burden runs 62% against 32.1% citywide, putting Mission Trace 30.0% over its own city. Average gross rent is $2,175, 60% above the Houston average of $1,361.

The voucher gap is 42.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 9.2/10.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $81,119 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #150 by risk, the middle third. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Courtlandt Place and Dearborn Place. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.