Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Mission Trace Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48157672904 ·
Fort Bend, TX · pop 8,240 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 48157672904 in the Mission Trace area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,240. The severe-burden share is 62%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%Stable renters 8%Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,463
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate2.4%
Median income$81,119
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Mission Trace
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#476 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
64th percentile
#48 of 133 tracts In Fort Bend
Elevated
Within state
58th percentile
#2,880 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6725, -95.6985 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mission Trace scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,175 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Mission Trace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
35%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mission Trace
Cost burden runs 62% here against 42.8% across Fort Bend County. At $2,175 a month, rents run 60% over what the rest of Houston commands. The voucher gap is 42.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.2/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $81,119, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48157672904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48157672904?
Census tract 48157672904 in the Mission Trace neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48157672904?
Median gross rent is $2,175/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48157672904?
2.4% of residents in tract 48157672904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,240.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48157672904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 65th, minority 95th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 48157672904 considered part of Mission Trace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48157672904 fall within Mission Trace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48157672904 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48157672904 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.