Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Terra Nova Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201553602 · Harris, TX · pop 2,332 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 48201553602 in the Terra Nova area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,332. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,132
Renter share93.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$55,504
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 30.0293, -95.4868 · click any tract to drill in
Why Terra Nova scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Terra Nova compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 684Total filings 2020-21
- 8.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Terra Nova
This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.3% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,199 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Houston commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Harris County average of 4.0 closely.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $55,504.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201553602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201553602?
Census tract 48201553602 in the Terra Nova neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201553602?
Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201553602?
13.3% of residents in tract 48201553602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,332.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201553602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 95th, minority 68th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 48201553602 considered part of Terra Nova?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201553602 fall within Terra Nova (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201553602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201553602 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201553602 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201431205
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Inwood Northwest
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Windfern Trace
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
North Shadydale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Foster Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Murray Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Fifth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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