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Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Walnut Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 15,476 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3–5.1

Walnut Bend spans 5 census tracts of Houston, TX and houses 15,476 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs roughly one in two against 32.1% citywide, putting Walnut Bend 18.3% over its own city.

31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 5.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 58 evictions logged in this tract. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 7.8% of renter households.

Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #126 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 0.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Terra Nova and Fallbrook Greens score within a fraction of it.

Average gross rent runs $1,368, close to the Houston average.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Walnut Bend vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.4% +57%
Houston: 32.1%
Average gross rent
$1,368 +1%
Houston: $1,361
Average HH income
$66,419 +6%
Houston: $62,894
Poverty rate
16.5% -16%
Houston: 19.7%
Renter share
68.2% +18%
Houston: 57.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Walnut Bend and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3–5.1

Why Walnut Bend scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
68% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
16.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–7.3 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–6.0 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Walnut Bend vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Walnut Bend score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.1Walnut BendNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Walnut Bend?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 3 to 5.1. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Walnut Bend

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201452203 5.1 3,072 56% $1,094
48201432303 5 2,268 37% $1,391
48201450803 4.1 5,224 47% $1,295
48201450900 3 3,034 67% $1,681
48201450804 3 1,878 41% $1,482
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Walnut Bend

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 58Total filings (sum)
  • 2.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak year (2015)
  • 7.79%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 4,148Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.1Avg monthly observed
  • 5.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.16×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Walnut Bend

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Walnut Bend?

Walnut Bend scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Walnut Bend compare to Houston overall?

Walnut Bend scores 0.4 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,368 vs $1,361.
Q3

What is the average rent in Walnut Bend?

Average gross rent in Walnut Bend is $1,368/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Walnut Bend residents are renters?

68% of Walnut Bend households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 15,476 residents.
Q5

Is Walnut Bend a high social-vulnerability area?

Walnut Bend sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Walnut Bend have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Walnut Bend is census tract 48201452203 (score 5.1/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.1, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Walnut Bend for landlords?

Walnut Bend carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Walnut Bend?

Walnut Bend has 15,744 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (37.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (33%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Walnut Bend

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Walnut Bend.

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