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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Walnut Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201452203 · Harris, TX · pop 3,072 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

48201452203 is a census tract in the Walnut Bend area of Houston, TX. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,072. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 36% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,362
Renter share81.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate29.1%
Median income$47,336

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Walnut Bend
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#109 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#247 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7317, -95.5620 · click any tract to drill in

Why Walnut Bend scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.1% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,094 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Walnut Bend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Walnut Bend risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 4522033.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,254Total filings 2020-21
  • 16.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Walnut Bend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Walnut Bend

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Against Harris County at 49.5%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,094 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Houston commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.8% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $47,336.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201452203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201452203?

Census tract 48201452203 in the Walnut Bend neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201452203?

Median gross rent is $1,094/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201452203?

29.1% of residents in tract 48201452203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,072.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201452203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 78th, minority 89th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 48201452203 considered part of Walnut Bend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201452203 fall within Walnut Bend (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201452203 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201452203 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201452203 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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