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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Willow Falls Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201554806 · Harris, TX · pop 1,846 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 48201554806 in the Willow Falls area of Houston, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units732
Renter share7.1%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate0.0%
Median income$116,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Willow Falls
Moderate
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#649 of 952 tracts In Houston
Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#1,085 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 30.0592, -95.5982 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willow Falls scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,205 rent vs county FMR
9.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Willow Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Willow Falls risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 5548063.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 53Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willow Falls

Average gross rent is $2,205, 62% above the Houston average. The voucher gap is 44.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.4/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Against Harris County at 49.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201554806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201554806?

Census tract 48201554806 in the Willow Falls neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201554806?

Median gross rent is $2,205/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201554806?

0.0% of residents in tract 48201554806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,846.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201554806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 37th, minority 57th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 48201554806 considered part of Willow Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201554806 fall within Willow Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201554806 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201554806 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201554806 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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