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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48157670202 · Fort Bend, TX · pop 4,843 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 48157670202 sits in the Winchester area of Houston eviction risk, Texas eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,447 monthly, set against $57,017 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 23% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,945
Renter share35.6%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$57,017

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Winchester
Moderate
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#336 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 133 tracts In Fort Bend
Very High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,560 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.5977, -95.4758 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,447 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Winchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 670202Houston: 2.82.8Houstonparent cityCounty: 2.52.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fort Bend County average of 4.8 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48157670202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48157670202?

Census tract 48157670202 in the Winchester neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48157670202?

Median gross rent is $1,447/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48157670202?

21.9% of residents in tract 48157670202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,843.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48157670202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 79th, minority 96th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 48157670202 considered part of Winchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48157670202 fall within Winchester (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48157670202 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48157670202 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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