Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201330302 · Harris, TX · pop 5,001 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

48201330302 is a census tract in the Winchester area of Houston, TX. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,001 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 35.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 10% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,554
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$58,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Winchester
Moderate
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#367 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#403 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,569 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6155, -95.4760 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,733 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Winchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 3303023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 286Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 10.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak (2011)
  • 40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201330302
Filings climbed 74% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 173Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester

Against Harris County at 49.5%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $58,808 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,733 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Houston commands.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 286 evictions over 7 years of observation. The voucher gap is 13.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2011 at 11.9% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201330302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201330302?

Census tract 48201330302 in the Winchester neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201330302?

Median gross rent is $1,733/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201330302?

19.5% of residents in tract 48201330302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,001.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201330302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 48201330302 considered part of Winchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201330302 fall within Winchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201330302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201330302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.14% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201330302 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201330302 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201330302 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related