Windfern Trace Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 35%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. At $1,870 a month, rents sit 37% over what the rest of Houston commands. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side is economic stress at 8.4/10. The voucher gap is 22.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.

Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, North Shadydale and Grand Vista Lakes score within a fraction of it.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.