Neighborhood · Houston, TX

Lincoln Green South Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 24,362 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 3.6–6.2

Lincoln Green South is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Houston with 5 census tracts and a population of 24,362 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 45% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,453/month sits 7% higher than the Houston citywide average ($1,361).

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

5 tracts · population-weighted

Lincoln Green South vs Houston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

61.6% +92%

Houston: 32.1%

Average gross rent

$1,453 +7%

Houston: $1,361

Average HH income

$63,877 +2%

Houston: $62,894

Poverty rate

19.2% -2%

Houston: 19.7%

Renter share

40.8% -30%

Houston: 57.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln Green South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3.6–6.2

Why Lincoln Green South scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 1.5–5.5 across tracts

4.8

Rent control risk

62% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.5 across tracts

1.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–5.0 across tracts

3.8

Tenant organizing strength

41% renter households · Range 3.5–4.0 across tracts

3.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.5–5.0 across tracts

3.0

Economic stress

19.2% below poverty line · Range 1.5–6.9 across tracts

4.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–6.6 across tracts

4.5

Risk score comparison

Lincoln Green South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lincoln Green South?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.6 points from 3.6 to 6.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.2 5.5 4.7 3.9 3.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

5 tracts in Lincoln Green South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
48201533902	6.2	5,161	61%	$1,167
48201550901	5.5	5,986	81%	$1,775
48201550700	4.7	5,048	45%	$1,712
48201550800	3.9	3,679	35%	$1,400
48201533904	3.6	4,488	76%	$1,104

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 90%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 46%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lincoln Green South

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,297Total filings (sum)
12.86%Avg annual filing rate
30.9%Peak year (2013)
9.81%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

928Total filings 2020-21
2.5Avg monthly observed
4.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.62×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Lincoln Green South

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln Green South?

Lincoln Green South scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lincoln Green South compare to Houston overall?

Lincoln Green South scores 2.1 points higher than Houston overall (2.8/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,453 vs $1,361.

What is the average rent in Lincoln Green South?

Average gross rent in Lincoln Green South is $1,453/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lincoln Green South residents are renters?

41% of Lincoln Green South households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 24,362 residents.

Is Lincoln Green South a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln Green South sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Lincoln Green South have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln Green South is census tract 48201533902 (score 6.2/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 6.2, a spread of 2.6 points.

How safe is Lincoln Green South for landlords?

Lincoln Green South carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (2.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln Green South?

Lincoln Green South has 23,835 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (57.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lincoln Green South

3.4 Blue Creek Ranch 3 tracts · pop 10,756 4.2 Greenwood Forest 4 tracts · pop 16,443 4.1 Northwest Park Place 2 tracts · pop 7,840 4.7 Inwood Northwest 3 tracts · pop 16,633 4.2 Forestwood 2 tracts · pop 13,251 5.1 Champions West 2 tracts · pop 9,190

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Houston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lincoln Green South.

4.9 Little Saigon 4 tracts · pop 12,310 4.9 Inwood Northwest 3 tracts · pop 16,633 4.9 Parkway West 2 tracts · pop 11,623 4.9 Greens Bayou 2 tracts · pop 11,414 4.9 Westmoreland 2 tracts · pop 3,649 4.9 Remington Ranch 4 tracts · pop 23,012

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