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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Hidden Coves Eviction Risk: Moderate , McAllen

Tract 48215020731 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 2,812 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

48215020731 is a census tract in the Hidden Coves area of McAllen, TX. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,812. roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Hidalgo County average of 42.3%.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63% Stable renters 19% Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units914
Renter share81.9%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$35,104

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Hidden Coves
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 53 tracts In McAllen
High
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#63 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Elevated
Within state
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#1,972 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.2312, -98.2537 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hidden Coves scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$834 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How Hidden Coves compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hidden Coves risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0207313.4McAllenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hidden Coves. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hidden Coves

Adults with no health insurance runs 42.1% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 43.8% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $834, 20% below the McAllen average.

On the high side, economic stress reads 7.6/10. Against the Hidalgo County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020731

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020731?

Census tract 48215020731 in the Hidden Coves neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020731?

Median gross rent is $834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020731?

30.5% of residents in tract 48215020731 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,812.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020731?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 97th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 48215020731 considered part of Hidden Coves?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020731 fall within Hidden Coves (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48215020731 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215020731 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of McAllen at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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