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Neighborhood · McAllen, TX

Hidden Coves Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 10,435 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.1–4.5

Hidden Coves is a 3-tract neighborhood of McAllen, TX, population 10,435. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.7/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 30.5% citywide, putting Hidden Coves 29.2% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.1 to 4.5. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Running cool is housing-court posture, at 3/10. Average gross rent is $931, 11% below the McAllen average of $1,049. That places it #4 of 9 neighborhoods in McAllen.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $43,971.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Hidden Coves vs McAllen How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.7% +96%
McAllen: 30.5%
Average gross rent
$931 -11%
McAllen: $1,049
Average HH income
$43,971 -27%
McAllen: $60,165
Poverty rate
24.2% +20%
McAllen: 20.2%
Renter share
36.8% -9%
McAllen: 40.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hidden Coves and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.1–4.5

Why Hidden Coves scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
24.2% below poverty line · Range 5.4–7.6 across tracts
6.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–6.6 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Hidden Coves vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hidden Coves score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.7Hidden CovesNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Hidden Coves?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 3.1 to 4.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Hidden Coves

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48215020731 4.5 2,812 77% $834
48215020725 3.8 3,586 55% $757
48215020732 3.1 4,037 52% $1,153
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 84

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 91%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 94%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Hidden Coves

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hidden Coves?

Hidden Coves scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hidden Coves compare to McAllen overall?

Hidden Coves scores 0.3 points higher than McAllen overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $931 vs $1,049.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hidden Coves?

Average gross rent in Hidden Coves is $931/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hidden Coves residents are renters?

37% of Hidden Coves households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in McAllen). The neighborhood has 10,435 residents.
Q5

Is Hidden Coves a high social-vulnerability area?

Hidden Coves sits in the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Hidden Coves have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Hidden Coves is census tract 48215020731 (score 4.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 4.5, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Hidden Coves for landlords?

Hidden Coves carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to McAllen as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Hidden Coves?

Hidden Coves has 9,916 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (90.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (8.1%), Other / Multiracial (1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hidden Coves

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside McAllen

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hidden Coves.

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