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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ventana del Sol Eviction Risk: Lower , McAllen

Tract 48215020727 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 4,836 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

48215020727 is a census tract in the Ventana del Sol area of McAllen, TX. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,836. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 11% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,396
Renter share17.0%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$78,933

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ventana del Sol
Moderate
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 53 tracts In McAllen
Moderate
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#165 of 212 tracts In Hidalgo
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across McAllen and the region

Centroid at 26.2578, -98.2614 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ventana del Sol scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McAllen
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,378 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from McAllen
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McAllen
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from McAllen
3.0

How Ventana del Sol compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ventana del Sol risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0207273.4McAllenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ventana del Sol

The voucher gap is 38.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 30.6% against 11.3% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.9/10. At $1,378 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of McAllen commands.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs around a third here against 42.3% across Hidalgo County.

It sits 0.9 points below the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $78,933.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020727

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020727?

Census tract 48215020727 in the Ventana del Sol neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48215020727?

Median gross rent is $1,378/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020727?

7.9% of residents in tract 48215020727 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,836.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020727?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 77th, minority 96th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 48215020727 considered part of Ventana del Sol?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020727 fall within Ventana del Sol (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48215020727 compare to McAllen overall?

Tract 48215020727 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of McAllen at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McAllen eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McAllen

Top eight tracts in McAllen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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