Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Orchards at Shary Road Eviction Risk: Lower , Mission

Tract 48215020305 · Hidalgo, TX · pop 3,104 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 48215020305 covers part of the Orchards at Shary Road area of Mission, TX, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,104. The severe-burden share is 59%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 9% Owners 72%

Tract context

Occupied units1,342

Renter share28.5%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate6.7%

Median income$51,415

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission and the region

Centroid at 26.2215, -98.2853 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchards at Shary Road scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Mission

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

6.7% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$940 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Mission

4.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Mission

6.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Mission

6.1

How Orchards at Shary Road compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

56%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orchards at Shary Road. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchards at Shary Road

Cost burden runs 68% here against 42.3% across Hidalgo County. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.9% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 0.9 points below the Hidalgo County average of 3.9. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Average gross rent is $940, close to the Mission average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $51,415.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48215020305

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48215020305?

Census tract 48215020305 in the Orchards at Shary Road neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48215020305?

Median gross rent is $940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48215020305?

6.7% of residents in tract 48215020305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,104.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48215020305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 27th, minority 86th, housing 62th.

Is tract 48215020305 considered part of Orchards at Shary Road?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48215020305 fall within Orchards at Shary Road (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 48215020305 compare to Mission overall?

Tract 48215020305 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Mission at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission

Top eight tracts in Mission ranked by composite eviction-risk score.