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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

South Overton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lubbock

Tract 48303000603 · Lubbock, TX · pop 4,252 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 48303000603 in the South Overton area of Lubbock, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,252 residents. Set annual rent against average income of $18,909 and the ratio lands at 73%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 43% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,988
Renter share98.5%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate63.1%
Median income$18,909

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 10 tracts In South Overton
Moderate
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 94 tracts In Lubbock
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 106 tracts In Lubbock
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lubbock and the region

Centroid at 33.5884, -101.8663 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Overton scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lubbock
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
63.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lubbock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lubbock
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lubbock
2.0

How South Overton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Overton risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0006033.2Lubbockparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Overton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Overton

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 63%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.8% across Lubbock County.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Lubbock County average of 3.6.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.5% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48303000603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303000603?

Census tract 48303000603 in the South Overton neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48303000603?

Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48303000603?

63.1% of residents in tract 48303000603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,252.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48303000603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 0th, minority 53th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 48303000603 considered part of South Overton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303000603 fall within South Overton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 48303000603 compare to Lubbock overall?

Tract 48303000603 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lubbock at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock

Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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