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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Worth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48439104603 · Tarrant, TX · pop 4,417

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 48439104603 in Fort Worth, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 58% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 5% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,148
Renter share28.8%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate24.8%
Median income$43,617

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#19 of 203 tracts In Fort Worth
Very High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 449 tracts In Tarrant
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,261 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Worth and the region

Centroid at 32.6855, -97.2702 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Worth scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Worth
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.8% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,214 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Worth
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5

How Fort Worth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Worth risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 1046033.4Fort Worthparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 563Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 9.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2006)
  • 24Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48439104603
Filings dropped 37% over the past 17 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 181Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.90×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Worth

84% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Tarrant County average of 50.2%. Adults with no health insurance runs 45.1% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 48.6% against 31.5% nationally. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $43,617, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,214, 20% below the Fort Worth average.

It sits 1.0 points above the Tarrant County average of 3.8. Court records carry 563 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 11.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Fort Worth. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48439104603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439104603?

Census tract 48439104603 in Fort Worth scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48439104603?

Median gross rent is $1,214/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48439104603?

24.8% of residents in tract 48439104603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,417.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48439104603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 84th, minority 94th, housing 71th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439104603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 563 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439104603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.03% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48439104603 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48439104603 compare to Fort Worth overall?

Tract 48439104603 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Worth at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48439104603 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Worth

Top eight tracts in Fort Worth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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