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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Blackshear-Prospect Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Austin

Tract 48453000901 · Travis, TX · pop 3,171 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

How risky is the Blackshear-Prospect Hill neighborhood of Austin for landlords? Census tract 48453000901 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,512 a month against an average household income of $112,130 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 45% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$112,130

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Blackshear-Prospect Hill
Very Low
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 239 tracts In Austin
Moderate
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#120 of 290 tracts In Travis
Elevated
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#3,847 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2656, -97.7237 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blackshear-Prospect Hill scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$2,512 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How Blackshear-Prospect Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blackshear-Prospect Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 000901Austin: 2.92.9Austinparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 158Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2006)
  • 10Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 484530009012001: 15 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)2002: 12 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (4.63/100 renter HHs)2004: 13 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (5.48/100 renter HHs)2007: 15 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2008: 13 filings (4.19/100 renter HHs)2009: 10 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2010: 12 filings (2.31/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (2.34/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (1.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blackshear-Prospect Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blackshear-Prospect Hill

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Travis County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453000901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000901?

Census tract 48453000901 in the Blackshear-Prospect Hill neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453000901?

Median gross rent is $2,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000901?

16.4% of residents in tract 48453000901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,171.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 1th, minority 66th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 48453000901 considered part of Blackshear-Prospect Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000901 fall within Blackshear-Prospect Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453000901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453000901 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453000901 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48453000901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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