Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Blackshear-Prospect Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin
Tract 48453000804 · Travis, TX · pop 2,607 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 48453000804 in Blackshear-Prospect Hill in Austin ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,607 residents. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,698 a month against an average household income of $73,359 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,137
Renter share59.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate25.9%
Median income$73,359
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austin and the region
Centroid at 30.2701, -97.7219 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blackshear-Prospect Hill scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.9% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,698 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5
How Blackshear-Prospect Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 325Total filings over 12 yrs
- 5.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2009)
- 22Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Blackshear-Prospect Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blackshear-Prospect Hill
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Travis County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 325 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.5% of renter households in 2009.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48453000804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000804?
Census tract 48453000804 in the Blackshear-Prospect Hill neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48453000804?
Median gross rent is $1,698/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000804?
25.9% of residents in tract 48453000804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,607.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 79th, minority 73th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 48453000804 considered part of Blackshear-Prospect Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000804 fall within Blackshear-Prospect Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 325 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453000804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.35% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48453000804 compare to Austin overall?
Tract 48453000804 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48453000804 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austin
Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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The Drag
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6
/ 10 · Elevated
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