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Neighborhood · Austin, TX

Blackshear-Prospect Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,778 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.2–5.4

Blackshear-Prospect Hill is a 2-tract neighborhood of Austin, TX and houses 5,778 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $2,145, 24% above the Austin average of $1,729. Cost burden runs roughly one in three against 29.1% citywide, putting Blackshear-Prospect Hill 6.3% over its own city. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.2 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 13% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Filings are well documented here: 483 across 2 observed tracts. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 9.5% of renter households.

The voucher gap is 10.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The most recent observed rate, 2.8% in 2012, is well off that peak. That places it #45 of 151 neighborhoods in Austin.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Blackshear-Prospect Hill vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.4% +22%
Austin: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$2,145 +24%
Austin: $1,729
Average HH income
$94,637 +3%
Austin: $91,461
Poverty rate
20.7% +69%
Austin: 12.3%
Renter share
62.3% +10%
Austin: 56.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blackshear-Prospect Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–5.4

Why Blackshear-Prospect Hill scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
20.7% below poverty line · Range 4.1–6.5 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–7.9 across tracts
6.0
Risk score comparison

Blackshear-Prospect Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Blackshear-Prospect Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Blackshear-ProspecNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Blackshear-Prospect Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48453000804 5.4 2,607 43% $1,698
48453000901 4.2 3,171 29% $2,512
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Blackshear-Prospect Hill

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 483Total filings (sum)
  • 4.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak year (2009)
  • 2.65%Latest filed (2012)
Frequently asked

About Blackshear-Prospect Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Blackshear-Prospect Hill?

Blackshear-Prospect Hill scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Blackshear-Prospect Hill compare to Austin overall?

Blackshear-Prospect Hill scores 0.7 points higher than Austin overall (4/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,145 vs $1,729.
Q3

What is the average rent in Blackshear-Prospect Hill?

Average gross rent in Blackshear-Prospect Hill is $2,145/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Blackshear-Prospect Hill residents are renters?

62% of Blackshear-Prospect Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 5,778 residents.
Q5

Is Blackshear-Prospect Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Blackshear-Prospect Hill sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Blackshear-Prospect Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Blackshear-Prospect Hill is census tract 48453000804 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 5.4, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Blackshear-Prospect Hill for landlords?

Blackshear-Prospect Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Blackshear-Prospect Hill?

Blackshear-Prospect Hill has 5,659 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.4%), Hispanic / Latino (33.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blackshear-Prospect Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blackshear-Prospect Hill.

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