Skip to content
Neighborhood · Austin, TX

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,755 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Downtown maps to a single census tract in Austin, TX and houses 1,755 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 41% against 29.1% citywide, putting Downtown 12.2% over its own city. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.1/10.

The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. Among the 151 mapped neighborhoods of Austin, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,710, close to the Austin average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $102,216.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.3% +42%
Austin: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,710 -1%
Austin: $1,729
Average HH income
$102,216 +12%
Austin: $91,461
Poverty rate
36.5% +197%
Austin: 12.3%
Renter share
78.5% +39%
Austin: 56.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Downtown scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
79% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
36.5% below poverty line · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4DowntownNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48453001101 5.4 1,755 41% $1,710
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 98%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Austin overall?

Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Austin overall (4/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,710 vs $1,729.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,710/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

79% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 1,755 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 1,660 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.5%), Hispanic / Latino (23.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further