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Neighborhood · Austin, TX

River Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 10,977 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

River Ranch is a one-tract neighborhood of Austin, TX, population 10,977. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 72%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 88% against 29.1% citywide, putting River Ranch 58.6% over its own city. Pulling the other way is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running hot is economic stress at 7.6/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

Average gross rent is $1,594, 8% below the Austin average of $1,729. That places it #1 of 151 neighborhoods in Austin. For a like-for-like read, St. Johns and West Congress score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $71,124. 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
River Ranch vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
87.7% +201%
Austin: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,594 -8%
Austin: $1,729
Average HH income
$71,124 -22%
Austin: $91,461
Poverty rate
30.6% +149%
Austin: 12.3%
Renter share
28.8% -49%
Austin: 56.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across River Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why River Ranch scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
88% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
30.6% below poverty line · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

River Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

River Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4River RanchNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in River Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48453044900 5.4 10,977 88% $1,594
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 97%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About River Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for River Ranch?

River Ranch scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does River Ranch compare to Austin overall?

River Ranch scores 1.4 points higher than Austin overall (4/10). Renters spend 88% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,594 vs $1,729.
Q3

What is the average rent in River Ranch?

Average gross rent in River Ranch is $1,594/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 88% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of River Ranch residents are renters?

29% of River Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 10,977 residents.
Q5

Is River Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

River Ranch sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is River Ranch for landlords?

River Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of River Ranch?

River Ranch has 10,904 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (56.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near River Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to River Ranch.

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