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Neighborhood · Austin, TX

Pecan Springs Springdale Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,135 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.5–5.4

Pecan Springs Springdale is a 2-tract neighborhood of Austin, TX, population 9,135. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Austin baseline of 29.1%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.5 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Court records carry 1,239 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. At $1,453 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Austin commands.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 15.2% of renter households.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. The most recent observed rate, 6.6% in 2012, is well off that peak. Among the 151 mapped neighborhoods of Austin, it ranks #57 by risk, the middle third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are The Waters at Bluff Springs and The Centrum. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Pecan Springs Springdale vs Austin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.9% +47%
Austin: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,453 -16%
Austin: $1,729
Average HH income
$89,500 -2%
Austin: $91,461
Poverty rate
17.5% +43%
Austin: 12.3%
Renter share
41.2% -27%
Austin: 56.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pecan Springs Springdale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.5–5.4

Why Pecan Springs Springdale scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
17.5% below poverty line · Range 2.8–6.2 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–3.0 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Pecan Springs Springdale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pecan Springs Springdale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4Pecan Springs SpriNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Pecan Springs Springdale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48453002108 5.4 4,251 43% $1,334
48453002107 3.5 4,884 43% $1,557
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 73

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pecan Springs Springdale

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,239Total filings (sum)
  • 7.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.2%Peak year (2007)
  • 6.60%Latest filed (2012)
Frequently asked

About Pecan Springs Springdale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pecan Springs Springdale?

Pecan Springs Springdale scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pecan Springs Springdale compare to Austin overall?

Pecan Springs Springdale scores 0.4 points higher than Austin overall (4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,453 vs $1,729.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pecan Springs Springdale?

Average gross rent in Pecan Springs Springdale is $1,453/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pecan Springs Springdale residents are renters?

41% of Pecan Springs Springdale households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Austin). The neighborhood has 9,135 residents.
Q5

Is Pecan Springs Springdale a high social-vulnerability area?

Pecan Springs Springdale sits in the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Pecan Springs Springdale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pecan Springs Springdale is census tract 48453002108 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 5.4, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Pecan Springs Springdale for landlords?

Pecan Springs Springdale carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Austin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Pecan Springs Springdale?

Pecan Springs Springdale has 9,423 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (38.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (34.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pecan Springs Springdale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Austin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pecan Springs Springdale.

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