Skip to content
Manchaca, Texas eviction risk overview
City brief · 2,171 residents

Manchaca, TX Eviction Risk: LOW

Travis County · Population 2,171

In 2026
Risk score
3.5
LOW

94th percentile, Texas.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average2.3 Now3.5
10 5 1976 · score 2.2 1977 · score 2.2 1978 · score 2.2 1979 · score 2.2 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 2.0 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 2.0 1989 · score 2.0 1990 · score 2.1 1991 · score 2.1 1992 · score 2.3 1993 · score 2.3 1994 · score 2.4 1995 · score 2.4 1996 · score 2.4 1997 · score 2.4 1998 · score 2.4 1999 · score 2.5 2000 · score 1.6 2001 · score 1.7 2002 · score 1.8 2003 · score 1.7 2004 · score 1.8 2005 · score 1.8 2006 · score 1.8 2007 · score 1.8 2008 · score 2.0 2009 · score 2.0 2010 · score 2.0 2011 · score 2.1 2012 · score 2.0 2013 · score 2.0 2014 · score 2.1 2015 · score 2.1 2016 · score 2.4 2017 · score 2.5 2018 · score 2.6 2019 · score 2.7 2020 · score 3.2 2021 · score 3.2 2022 · score 3.2 2023 · score 3.2 2024 · score 3.6 2025 · score 4.4 2026 · score 3.5

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from county average, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.5 Regional 7.5 State 1.5 Economic 3.8 Supply 7.2 Rent Control 2.2 Eviction 1.5 Tenant 4.6 Housing 1.6 3.5 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +39.3% (2024)
    7.5
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.5
  3. State political climate
    Texas legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    12.0% poverty · 4.9% unemp.
    3.8
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,591 average · 23.3% renters
    7.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    22.9% of income on rent
    2.2
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    26 days filing → judgment
    1.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    23.3% renters
    4.6
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    1.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across Manchaca and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Manchaca compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Travis County
Elevated
#11 of 24 cities
Rank in county, 57th percentileBottomTop
#11 of 24 cities in Travis County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Texas
Very High
#127 of 1,841 cities
Rank in state, 93rd percentileBottomTop
#127 of 1,841 cities in Texas for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Manchaca risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Manchaca: 3.53.5ManchacaThis cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg in countyState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 3.5
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 3.5/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 26d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,591/mo. A contested eviction takes 26 days and costs $935-$3,467 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 23.3%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 2,171 residents, 23.3% rent. 23% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 12.0% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.5
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.5 and 7.5 (Dem margin +39.3% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.5, housing court bias 1.6, rent-control risk 2.2. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.8
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.8. Supply constraint: 7.2. The numbers behind those: 12.0% poverty, 4.9% unemployment, 23% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Manchaca sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Austin, TX · 24d · ~$2.2k all-in ($92/day) · score 3.6 Austin Round Rock, TX · 28d · ~$2.1k all-in ($74/day) · score 2.4 Round Rock New Braunfels, TX · 28d · ~$2.2k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.1 New Braunfels Georgetown, TX · 25d · ~$2.1k all-in ($85/day) · score 3.1 Georgetown Cedar Park, TX · 27d · ~$2.2k all-in ($83/day) · score 2.9 Cedar Park Leander, TX · 25d · ~$2.2k all-in ($89/day) · score 3.3 Leander San Marcos, TX · 27d · ~$2.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.3 San Marcos Pflugerville, TX · 27d · ~$2.1k all-in ($77/day) · score 4.3 Pflugerville Kyle, TX · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($97/day) · score 4.1 Kyle Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Manchaca
Manchaca · 26d · ~$2.2k all-in ($85/day) · score 3.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Manchaca, TX

Landlording in Manchaca, Texas, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.5/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Manchaca is a city of 2,171 residents where 23.3% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 22.9% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,591/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Manchaca eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Manchaca closes 26 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Manchaca's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 1.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Manchaca runs $935 to $3,467 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 26 days of typical timeline and $2,591/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 4.6/10 in Manchaca, and the city has limited rent control exposure (2.2/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Texas, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Manchaca: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Texas's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,467 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Manchaca

Trap · 0.0%
Local poverty rate is 0.0%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward moderate volume in Travis County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 2.2/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 1,208 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.48× the historical baseline (above baseline). Past 12 months: 15,211 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 55,314.

  • 1,208Past month
  • 15,211Past 12 months
  • 1.48×vs baseline (past mo)
Notice requirement: at least three days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: $139 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 - 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 776 filings (0.85× hist)2023-06-01: 930 filings (0.99× hist)2023-07-01: 820 filings (0.85× hist)2023-08-01: 862 filings (0.89× hist)2023-09-01: 896 filings (0.83× hist)2023-10-01: 1,165 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 999 filings (0.99× hist)2023-12-01: 884 filings (0.89× hist)2024-01-01: 1,195 filings (1.26× hist)2024-02-01: 1,140 filings (1.19× hist)2024-03-01: 1,007 filings (1.12× hist)2024-04-01: 820 filings (1.01× hist)2024-05-01: 1,044 filings (1.15× hist)2024-06-01: 954 filings (1.01× hist)2024-07-01: 1,118 filings (1.15× hist)2024-08-01: 1,081 filings (1.11× hist)2024-09-01: 1,262 filings (1.17× hist)2024-10-01: 1,159 filings (1.00× hist)2024-11-01: 1,028 filings (1.01× hist)2024-12-01: 1,105 filings (1.11× hist)2025-01-01: 1,287 filings (1.36× hist)2025-02-01: 1,247 filings (1.33× hist)2025-03-01: 1,233 filings (1.37× hist)2025-04-01: 1,109 filings (1.36× hist)2025-05-01: 1,140 filings (1.25× hist)2025-06-01: 1,202 filings (1.28× hist)2025-07-01: 1,298 filings (1.34× hist)2025-08-01: 1,261 filings (1.30× hist)2025-09-01: 1,248 filings (1.16× hist)2025-10-01: 1,467 filings (1.26× hist)2025-11-01: 1,057 filings (1.04× hist)2025-12-01: 1,251 filings (1.26× hist)2026-01-01: 1,272 filings (1.34× hist)2026-02-01: 1,441 filings (1.54× hist)2026-03-01: 1,366 filings (1.52× hist)2026-04-01: 1,208 filings (1.48× hist)
Filings climbed 6% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Manchaca without a reason?

Yes, if you have a month-to-month lease, you can terminate it with a 30-day notice without providing a specific reason, as long as it's not discriminatory or retaliatory. For fixed-term leases, you generally need a lease violation like non-payment of rent.

Q2

How much does it cost to file an eviction in Travis County?

The filing fee for a Forcible Detainer suit in Travis County Justice Court is typically under $100. There will be additional fees for service of process by a constable or private process server, usually another $75-$100.

Q3

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the judge rules against them?

After the judge rules in your favor and the appeal period passes (usually 5 days), you must obtain a Writ of Possession from the court. This writ authorizes the constable to physically remove the tenant. You cannot remove them yourself.

Q4

Is there rent control in Manchaca, TX?

No, Texas has a statewide prohibition on rent control. Landlords in Manchaca are generally free to set their own rental rates and raise them according to the terms of the lease agreement and proper notice periods.

Q5

How long do I have to return a security deposit in Manchaca?

Under Texas law, you have 30 days from the date the tenant moves out and provides a forwarding address to return the security deposit or provide an itemized list of deductions. Failing to meet this deadline can result in penalties.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 3.5/10 places Manchaca in the 94th percentile of Texas cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.