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Essex Junction, Vermont eviction risk overview
City brief · 10,803 residents

Essex Junction, VT Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Chittenden County · Population 10,803

In 2026
Risk score
5.2
MODERATE

67th percentile, Vermont.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average3.2 Now5.2
10 5 1976 · score 1.4 1977 · score 1.4 1978 · score 1.5 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.9 1990 · score 1.9 1991 · score 2.0 1992 · score 2.3 1993 · score 2.3 1994 · score 2.4 1995 · score 2.4 1996 · score 2.7 1997 · score 2.7 1998 · score 2.8 1999 · score 2.9 2000 · score 2.3 2001 · score 2.4 2002 · score 2.5 2003 · score 2.5 2004 · score 3.0 2005 · score 3.0 2006 · score 3.1 2007 · score 3.2 2008 · score 3.9 2009 · score 4.0 2010 · score 4.1 2011 · score 4.2 2012 · score 4.1 2013 · score 4.3 2014 · score 4.4 2015 · score 4.5 2016 · score 4.5 2017 · score 4.7 2018 · score 4.9 2019 · score 5.1 2020 · score 6.1 2021 · score 6.1 2022 · score 6.1 2023 · score 6.1 2024 · score 6.1 2025 · score 5.2 2026 · score 5.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.0 Regional 8.0 State 4.6 Economic 3.9 Supply 8.1 Rent Control 7.7 Eviction 4.8 Tenant 7.9 Housing 5.8 5.2 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +53.6% (2024)
    8.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.0
  3. State political climate
    Vermont legislature & governorship
    4.6
  4. Economic stress
    6.6% poverty · 1.9% unemp.
    3.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,544 average · 40.7% renters
    8.1
  6. Rent Control risk
    33.7% of income on rent
    7.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    98 days filing → judgment
    4.8
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    40.7% renters
    7.9
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.8
Geographic context

Risk heat across Essex Junction and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Essex Junction compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Chittenden County
High
#4 of 21 cities
Rank in county, 85th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 21 cities in Chittenden County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Vermont
Elevated
#70 of 180 cities
Rank in state, 62nd percentileBottomTop
#70 of 180 cities in Vermont for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Essex Junction risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Essex Junction: 5.25.2Essex JunctionThis cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.2
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 98d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,544/mo. A contested eviction takes 98 days and costs $3,802-$9,608 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 40.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 10,803 residents, 40.7% rent. 34% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 6.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8 and 8 (Dem margin +53.6% (2024)). State climate at 4.6, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.8, housing court bias 5.8, rent-control risk 7.7. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.2 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.9. Supply constraint: 8.1. The numbers behind those: 6.6% poverty, 1.9% unemployment, 34% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Essex Junction sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
00Overview

About eviction risk in Essex Junction, VT

Landlording in Essex Junction, Vermont, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.2/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Essex Junction is a city of 10,803 residents where 40.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 33.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,544/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Essex Junction eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.8/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Essex Junction closes 98 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Essex Junction's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.8/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Essex Junction runs $3,802 to $9,608 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 98 days of typical timeline and $1,544/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.9/10 in Essex Junction, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (7.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Vermont, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Essex Junction: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Vermont's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $9,608 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Essex Junction

Trap · 40.7%
40.7% renter share against 10,803 residents produces roughly 4,398 rental occupants in Essex Junction. Chittenden County voted D 54.5% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the best way to handle a tenant who pays late consistently but always pays?

First, check your lease. If it has a late fee clause, enforce it consistently. If you let it slide, you lose your right to enforce it later. If it's a chronic issue, consider offering a lease renewal with a higher late fee or a "pay on time" incentive. If it becomes truly disruptive to your cash flow, you might need to issue a 14-day pay-or-quit notice even if they eventually pay, just to send a strong message. You can also explore Vermont tenant protections to ensure you're compliant.
Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Essex Junction if I want to move into the property myself?

Generally, yes, but you need to give proper notice. For a no-cause termination, which this would fall under, you must provide a 60-day notice. Make sure your lease allows for non-renewal. Vermont does not have statewide just-cause eviction, so you typically don't need a specific tenant fault to terminate a month-to-month tenancy or non-renew a fixed-term lease with proper notice.
Q3

Is there rent control in Essex Junction or Vermont?

No, there is no statewide rent control in Vermont, and Essex Junction does not have its own rent control ordinances. This means you are generally free to set rent at market rates and increase it with proper notice (typically 60 days for a rent increase). However, keep an eye on local discussions. While not currently an issue, tenant organizing strength (7.9/10) suggests this could change. See our Vermont rent control rules for more.
Q4

What if my tenant claims they can't pay due to a job loss or medical emergency?

Be sympathetic, but firm. Your property is a business. Offer resources for rental assistance (local charities, state programs). You can offer a payment plan, but get it in writing and make sure it's realistic. If they default on the payment plan, you'll likely have to start the 14-day notice process again. Sometimes, cash for keys is the most humane and financially sound option for both parties.
Q5

How strict are Vermont courts on landlord mistakes in the eviction process?

Very strict. Judges in Vermont will scrutinize your notices, filings, and service. Any procedural error, like incorrect dates, improper delivery, or not giving the full notice period, can lead to your case being dismissed. This means you start over, losing more time and money. This is why getting legal counsel for actual court filings is often a wise investment, especially in Chittenden County, where the housing court bias is 5.8/10. For county-specific advice, check our Chittenden County eviction guide.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.2/10 places Essex Junction in the 67th percentile of Vermont cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.