Tyre Neck Square Eviction Risk: Lower

Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,992, 26% above the Chesapeake average of $1,586.

The voucher gap is 17.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity affects 7.2% of adults, 10.6 points below the national rate.

SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. That places it #25 of 48 neighborhoods in Chesapeake.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.