Neighborhood · Chesapeake, VA

Pines of Warrick Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 11,639 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Pines of Warrick spans 3 census tracts of Chesapeake, VA and houses 11,639 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 51% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Chesapeake rate of 33.8%.

The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

The voucher gap is 26.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Running hot is supply constraint at 7.6/10. Court records carry 404 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $1,830, 15% above the Chesapeake average of $1,586.

Food insecurity affects 7.2% of adults, 10.6 points below the national rate. SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 20.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 8.0% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 48 mapped neighborhoods of Chesapeake, it ranks #29 by risk, the middle third. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Chadswyck and Deep Creek score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Pines of Warrick vs Chesapeake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

50.6% +50%

Chesapeake: 33.8%

Average gross rent

$1,830 +15%

Chesapeake: $1,586

Average HH income

$138,539 +47%

Chesapeake: $94,189

Poverty rate

3.4% -61%

Chesapeake: 8.7%

Renter share

5.0% -81%

Chesapeake: 25.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pines of Warrick and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3

Why Pines of Warrick scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

5% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

3.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.3 across tracts

1.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–9.7 across tracts

7.6

Risk score comparison

Pines of Warrick vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Pines of Warrick?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0 points from 3 to 3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.0 3.0 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Pines of Warrick

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51550021010	3	5,840	82%	$2,071
51550021011	3	3,682	29%	$2,500
51550021015	3	2,117	0%	,

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 50%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 33%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 12%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pines of Warrick

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

404Total filings (sum)
11.07%Avg annual filing rate
20.9%Peak year (2011)
9.63%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pines of Warrick

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.0%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
5.3%SNAP enrollment
5.4%No health insurance
25.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Pines of Warrick

What is the eviction-risk score for Pines of Warrick?

Pines of Warrick scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Pines of Warrick compare to Chesapeake overall?

Pines of Warrick scores 0.4 points lower than Chesapeake overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,830 vs $1,586.

What is the average rent in Pines of Warrick?

Average gross rent in Pines of Warrick is $1,830/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Pines of Warrick residents are renters?

5% of Pines of Warrick households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Chesapeake). The neighborhood has 11,639 residents.

Is Pines of Warrick a high social-vulnerability area?

Pines of Warrick sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Pines of Warrick have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pines of Warrick is census tract 51550021010 (score 3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.

How safe is Pines of Warrick for landlords?

Pines of Warrick carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chesapeake as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Pines of Warrick?

Pines of Warrick has 11,874 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (80.1%), Hispanic / Latino (6.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pines of Warrick

3.1 Bells Mill 2 tracts · pop 10,171 3.9 River Arch Village 2 tracts · pop 5,236 4 Bayberry Place 3 tracts · pop 8,426 4.2 West Munden 3 tracts · pop 10,179 3.9 Woodland Terrace 2 tracts · pop 4,547

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chesapeake

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pines of Warrick.

3 Long Ridge 1 tracts · pop 5,026 3 Forest Hills 1 tracts · pop 3,929 3 Cornland 1 tracts · pop 6,271 3 Chadswyck 1 tracts · pop 3,413 3 Deep Creek 1 tracts · pop 2,335 3 Millville 1 tracts · pop 4,357

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