Tyre Neck Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $73,974, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

At $1,992 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of Chesapeake commands. Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 17.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.