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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Tyre Neck Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021604 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 1,601 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 51550021604, home to 1,601 residents in the Tyre Neck Square area of Chesapeake, scores 4.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 22nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

84% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,992 monthly, set against $73,974 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 3% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units718
Renter share15.3%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$73,974

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Tyre Neck Square
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Moderate
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#1,336 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.8453, -76.3922 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tyre Neck Square scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,992 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Tyre Neck Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tyre Neck Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 021604Chesapeake: 3.63.6Chesapeakeparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tyre Neck Square

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021604?

Census tract 51550021604 in the Tyre Neck Square neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550021604?

Median gross rent is $1,992/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021604?

0.9% of residents in tract 51550021604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,601.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 64th, minority 40th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 51550021604 considered part of Tyre Neck Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021604 fall within Tyre Neck Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51550021604 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51550021604 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021604 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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